这是很令人满意的。然而，两个表中所列的10种“最贵”的股票总体在5年里上升了40%。单就以上情况来说，这些好的结果还很难长久地保持。
      
      表25    1959年“普通价”预测与实际结果比较（以美元为单位）
      
      上市股票    Naess&Thomas    价格线预测（注b）   配股    实际平均价（注c）
      
                预测（注a）                     1959~1963   1963
      
      联合化学       128              118             2配1        100
      
      美国罐头        56               63                         44
      
      美国精炼        63               80                         73
      
      美国电话电报    236             265             3配1        120
      
      美国烟草        114             113             4配1        120
      
      伯利恒钢铁      55              53                          31
      
      克莱斯勒        75              82              4配1        136
      
      谷类产品        51              58              2配1        100
      
      杜邦            246             245                         283（注d）
      
      东方人柯达      128             150                         238
      
      通用电气        80              81                          80
      
      通用食品        72              75              2配1        168
      
      通用汽车        48              54                          84
      
      好时代轮胎      111             122             3配1        114
      
      国际收割机      43              46                          51
      
      国际镍业        100             116             2配1        124
      
      国际纸业        117             135             3配1        87
      
      约赫思——曼威勒  57              60                          47
      
      国家蒸馏器      29              38                          25
      
      国家钢铁        80              78              2配1        88
      
      Procter&Gamble  76              74                          150
      
      西尔斯.雄獐     41              45                          88
      
      加利福尼亚标准石油 70           68                          63
      
      新泽西标准石油  58              64                          67
      
      特再柯          99              95                          134
      
      联合碳化物      151             140                         111
      
      联合航空        72              81                          47
      
      美国钢铁        96              86                          50
      
      西屋            90              85                          72
      
      沃尔沃          55              60                          72
      
      总计          2697            2830                        3078
      
      注a. 以1963年以基数的长期普通价 注b. 1962~1964年的潜在价
      
      注c. 已调整                     注d. 包括了通用汽车所有的一半股份
      
      表26    1959年收益和分红预测与实际结果比较（以美元为单位）
      
      上市股票    1963收益（注a）                        1963年分红
      
              价格线  Naess &   1963年        价格线  Naess &   1963年
      
              预测    Thomas    实际值（注b） 预测    Thomas    实际值（注b）
      
                      预测                            预测
      
      联合化学    7.00    7.00      5.54          4.25    4.50      3.60
      
      美国罐头    4.30    3.75      2.56          2.70    2.40      2.00
      
      美国精炼    7.40    6.50      4.83          5.00    3.75      2.70
      
      美国电话电报15.00   14.50     18.18         12.50   9.90      10.80
      
      美国烟草    11.50   9.75      10.04         6.80    6.00      6.00
      
      伯利恒钢铁  5.90    5.50      2.11          2.90    3.00      1.50
      
      克莱斯勒    12.00   7.50      17.40         5.00    4.00      1.76
      
      谷类产品    3.90    3.25      4.48          2.90    2.20      2.80
      
      杜邦        12.25   11.50     10.05         9.00    8.50      7.75
      
      东方人柯达  8.00    7.00      7.50          4.50    3.50      5.10
      
      通用电气    4.60    4.25      3.00          3.00    2.80      2.00
      
      通用食品    5.65    5.00      6.32          3.00    2.80      3.90
      
      通用汽车    4.75    4.00      5.55          3.10    3.00      4.00
      
      好时代轮胎  11.25   9.50      6.96          4.40    2.50      3.00
      
      国际收割机  4.80    3.75      4.58          2.75    2.40      2.40
      
      国际镍业    8.70    7.00      7.22          5.90    4.50      4.50
      
      国际纸业    10.30   9.00      4.44          5.40    4.00      4.11（注c）
      
      约赫思——曼威勒4.75  4.00      3.24          3.00    2.50      2.00
      
      国家蒸馏器  3.85    2.75      1.67          1.90    1.50      1.20
      
      国家钢铁    9.00    8.00      8.12          5.00    4.50      3.30
      
      Proeter&Gamble5.30  4.50      5.50          3.10    2.60      3.20
      
      西尔斯.雄獐 3.40    3.00      3.35          1.70    1.45      1.65
      
      加利福尼亚标准石油6.25 6.00   4.50          2.80    2.45      3.50（注c）
      
      新泽西标准石油 5.50 5.00      4.68          3.00    2.75      2.75
      
      特再柯      8.50    8.50      8.58          4.00    3.80      4.20
      
      联合航空    9.00    8.00      3.12          4.85    3.60      2.00
      
      美国钢铁    9.10    9.25      3.28          4.50    4.50      2.00
      
      西屋        8.00    6.25      2.56          4.00    3.00      2.40
      
      沃尔沃      5.00    4.00      5.26          3.30    2.75      2.73
      
      总计        222.45  195.45    179.94        128.75  110.90    99.99
      
      注a. 或者是1962~1964年的平均值  注b. 参照1959年的基数。